Showing posts with label AL MVP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AL MVP. Show all posts

Thursday, September 20, 2012

Why WAR Shouldn't be Used in MVP Decisions

ESPN is bubbling with people pitching Mike Trout for the MVP over Miguel Cabrera because of his WAR. This is not an effecitve case for gauging MVP candidates for two reasons.

1.) There is no clearly established formula for WAR. Sites that provide the statistic, such as Baseball Prospectus, Fangraphs, and Baseball Reference, all calculate it differently; however, all of these sites calculate the value of WAR using these principles, and each site publicly acknowledges their methods for calculating their individual WAR values.

For instance, Baseball Prospectus has Mike Trout at 8.1 and Miguel Cabrera at 5.8. Fangraphs has Mike Trout at a 9.4 and Miguel Cabrera at 6.8. ESPN was quoting some extreme number with Trout at 10.3 and Cabrera at 6.3. 

2.)  The player that would replace the other is also completely subjective. We cannot know how a replacement player would do, or even who that player would be. Imagine the WAR of the various Angel center-fielders last year. Would the stat have picked up Mike Trout's unique talents? No. The stat is helpful for engaging conversations, but not for choosing MVP's. 

Let the standardized, time tested statistics tell the story, and let's not confuse people with subjective pontification.


Wednesday, September 19, 2012

AL MVP...is there a question???



As the season is winding down...15 more days of baseball games....the discussion for MVP of each league is getting heavy. 

We appreciate Mike Trout...what a GREAT young player!

No doubt Josh Hamilton is a great ballplayer!

However, is there any case that can be made against Miguel Cabrera getting AL MVP???! 

STATS (through September 18th's game):

TROUT - AVG .327 / HR 27 / RBI 77 / OPS .954

HAMILTON - AVG .287 / HR 42 / RBI 123 / OPS .947

MIGGY - AVG .333 (1st in AL) / HR 40 (2nd in AL) / RBI 129 (1st in AL) / OPS 1.008 (1st in AL)

These are not just AL MVP numbers - these are seriously contending Triple Crown numbers...not even joking...he is for real, contending for AL Triple Crown and we are having discussion about who is the AL MVP...come on now!!

Go Tigs and Go Miggy

P.S. - Tigers will still be playing in October.